Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.554678 0.717419 0.901800 1.123574 1.380507 1.666339 2.005857
2025-10-05 0.330972 0.529773 0.786081 1.128758 1.563061 2.083947 2.744412
2025-10-12 0.196313 0.397120 0.692683 1.128502 1.724829 2.484272 3.495908
2025-10-19 0.106658 0.285790 0.591138 1.087715 1.817205 2.796356 4.155668
2025-10-26 0.056070 0.208968 0.513756 1.058283 1.910656 3.106974 4.824867
2025-11-02 0.030284 0.162285 0.469307 1.065739 2.050249 3.482302 5.593401
2025-11-09 0.013021 0.116611 0.407833 1.028523 2.111297 3.743689 6.212518
2025-11-16 0.006790 0.098073 0.396230 1.075502 2.305971 4.205357 7.125837
2025-11-23 0.002510 0.075839 0.365371 1.077960 2.423705 4.554490 7.888470
2025-11-30 0.001173 0.068101 0.369956 1.151139 2.665322 5.100263 8.950354
2025-12-07 0.000354 0.057895 0.362289 1.195976 2.858506 5.576815 9.923045
2025-12-14 0.000035 0.046311 0.343542 1.212112 2.999328 5.974467 10.788161
2025-12-21 NaN 0.033031 0.309713 1.188652 3.068500 6.266379 11.514051
2025-12-28 NaN 0.026062 0.296401 1.212080 3.227084 6.708823 12.479988
2026-01-04 NaN 0.019575 0.278921 1.220968 3.356970 7.107687 13.388721
2026-01-11 NaN 0.012371 0.246654 1.182401 3.388315 7.341970 14.048620
2026-01-18 NaN 0.007621 0.220404 1.153449 3.434799 7.601154 14.751349
2026-01-25 NaN 0.005227 0.207935 1.162497 3.559891 7.997775 15.677360
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002671 0.182583 1.123518 3.578048 8.207716 16.310808
2026-02-08 NaN 0.002108 0.183757 1.173729 3.793733 8.770363 17.517601
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001199 0.172191 1.176487 3.903392 9.147316 18.432468
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001106 0.180721 1.254263 4.186374 9.840733 19.869300
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000814 0.181191 1.301867 4.402458 10.418387 21.126957